Bitcoin at $40,000 would be 'near-unprecedented' statistical outcome, analyst says

Bitcoin at $40,000 would be 'near-unprecedented' statistical outcome, analyst says

Search/NewsVideoPricesResearchConsensus 2026Data & IndicesSponsoredSearch/enMarketsShareShare this articleCopy linkX iconX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmailBitcoin at $40,000 would be 'near-unprecedented' statistical outcome, analyst saysMean-reversion models suggest bearish targets imply a 0.4th percentile event, far beyond typical market corrections.By James Van Straten|Edited by Sheldon Reback Apr 25, 2026, 3:00 p.m. Make preferred on Bitcoin Mean Reversion Index (CheckonChain)What to know: A drop to $40,000 would place bitcoin in the 0.4th percentile of historical price deviations, making it one of the most statistically extreme events on record. At around $78,000, bitcoin currently sits near the 31.5th percentile, indicating a historically weak, but still normal, correction range.Bitcoin's BTC$77,359.29 recent gains — it's added almost 15% this month — aren't enough to convince some in

Source: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/25/bitcoin-at-usd40-000-would-be-near-unprecedented-statistical-outcome-analyst-says